Friday, May 23, 2025

Grokking History

:: thirsters meet (on a different night) ::

At Thirsters last night, I proposed my thesis that Donald Trump's strategy, of blaming Biden for the war in Ukraine, while maybe not historically accurate, seemed to be working. A side benefit is Biden wouldn't really be taking the blame because his mind was going at the time and he was running on empty shibboleths.

In actuality, the B team (B for president Blinken) was going with a flow established way back in Zbigniew Brzezinski's time. The momentum stemmed from a longstanding insecurity regarding being the world's only superpower through a next American Century. How could this be accomplished?

From one of my outbound emails of April 1, 2025:

Is it fair to characterize Anne Applebaum's views as consistent with those of Zbigniew Brzezinski? Does Applebaum ever explicitly praise Brzezinski? Who are her adjacent ideologues, meaning what historians are most similar to her in terms of how they view contemporary geopolitics. What thinkers would we consider diametrically opposed to Applebaum meaning who are her chief critics, if she has any?

That'd be quoting a prompt I'd already sent to Perplexity.ai.  Here's a link to the LLM's reply.

What Trump is attempting to do is break the news to the American people that the neocon project to "weaken Russia" by allying with Uke Russophobes, was misguided from the beginning and engaged in by losers. 

Their loss could be our win, if we manage to root out the decrepit and obsolete thinking that drove Biden's geriatric policies in the first place.

One of our number used Grok during our meetup, to check up on the likely views of General McPeak (a four star general and former member of the joint chiefs of staff), who may be joining us again. I missed that earlier meetup, but maybe I'll make the next one. 

I'll ask Grok about him too (for this blog post).

Excerpt from Grok's reply:
Comparing the views of General Merrill A. McPeak, a former four-star general and member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, with those of retired Colonel Douglas Macgregor on the war in Ukraine is challenging due to the limited public statements from McPeak on this specific topic. McPeak, who served as Air Force Chief of Staff from 1990 to 1994, has not been prominently associated with detailed public commentary on the Ukraine conflict, particularly in recent years. His public record focuses more on military strategy, leadership, and historical operations like the Gulf War, rather than current geopolitical conflicts such as Ukraine. In contrast, Douglas Macgregor, a retired Army colonel and former Trump administration advisor, has been vocal and controversial in his commentary on the Ukraine war, often expressing views that align with a pro-Russian perspective and skepticism of U.S. involvement. Below, I’ll outline their respective positions based on available information, noting where gaps exist for McPeak, and provide a comparison.
We talked about the movie Dr. Strangelove a lot. I hyped one of my other fave Peter Sellers movies: Being There, based on the novel by Jerzy KosiƄski. This was before our host, Art, showed up. These days Thirsters meet in his beautiful old Portland home, whereas we used to meet at a McMenamins.